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DI

DZS INC. (DZSI)·Q2 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • DZS did not report Q2 2023 financial results; the company filed an NT 10‑Q and disclosed it would be late due to an audit committee review and a restatement of Q1 2023 related to revenue recognition timing .
  • Nasdaq sent a delinquency notice for the late Form 10‑Q; DZS must submit a compliance plan and may receive an extension to February 5, 2024 if accepted .
  • Liquidity was bolstered post‑quarter: DZS secured $29.7M in loans, including a $24.5M three‑year term loan at 8% with shareholder Dasan Networks, to pay down its term debt and revolver; management expects quarterly OpEx to be ~$10M lower by Q1 2024 vs Q1 2023 ($24M vs $34M) .
  • Strategic upside: DZS highlighted “Build America, Buy America”/BEAD eligibility, asserting its OLTs/ONTs meet proposed waiver requirements, a potential catalyst for growth in U.S. broadband deployments .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Financing and covenant relief: “The new financing from DNI will ease our financial covenants, lower our interest cost basis and…fully pay off our existing loans” (Charlie Vogt, CEO) .
  • Cost discipline: “We expect to lower our quarterly operating spend by nearly $10 million by the first quarter of 2024 compared with the first quarter of 2023, specifically, $24 million in Q1 2024 versus $34 million in Q1 2023” .
  • BEAD/BABA positioning: Management stated DZS is “among a short list of technology suppliers meeting the requirements for Optical Line Terminals (OLTs)…and Optical Network Terminals (ONTs)” under the proposed BEAD waiver, enabling compliant procurement now .

What Went Wrong

  • Reporting delay and restatement: The audit committee initiated a review and Q1 2023 will be restated due to revenue recognition timing errors; Q2 2023 Form 10‑Q was delayed with no expected filing date .
  • Listing compliance risk: Nasdaq notified DZS of non‑compliance for not timely filing Q2 10‑Q; DZS must submit a plan to regain compliance, creating uncertainty and headline risk .
  • Credit agreement defaults: Lenders documented “Specified Defaults,” including failure to maintain minimum liquidity and minimum EBITDA, late delivery of Q2 financials, and banking relationship requirements; a limited consent permitted new loans only if proceeds repaid existing obligations promptly .

Financial Results

Note: DZS did not file Q2 2023 results due to a delayed Form 10‑Q; Q4 2022 and Q1 2023 are shown for trend. Q2 2023 cells marked N/A reference the delayed filing.

MetricQ4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Revenue ($USD Millions)$100.177 $90.812 N/A (10-Q delayed)
Diluted EPS (GAAP) ($USD)$(0.50) $(0.55) N/A (10-Q delayed)
Adjusted EPS ($USD)$(0.10) $(0.06) N/A (10-Q delayed)
Gross Margin % (GAAP)30.0% 32.8% N/A (10-Q delayed)
Adjusted Gross Margin %30.6% 33.3% N/A (10-Q delayed)
Total Operating Expenses (GAAP, $USD Millions)$44.697 $45.055 N/A (10-Q delayed)
Adjusted Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$33.801 $34.226 N/A (10-Q delayed)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(3.146) $(3.981) N/A (10-Q delayed)

Segment breakdown – Product Technology:

MetricQ4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Access Networking Infrastructure Revenue ($USD Millions)$87.8 $79.5 N/A (10-Q delayed)
Cloud Software & Services Revenue ($USD Millions)$12.4 $11.3 N/A (10-Q delayed)

Geographic mix:

MetricQ4 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023
Americas Revenue ($USD Millions)$28.4 $24.8 N/A (10-Q delayed)
EMEA Revenue ($USD Millions)$21.0 $19.2 N/A (10-Q delayed)
Asia Revenue ($USD Millions)$50.8 $46.8 N/A (10-Q delayed)

KPIs (as disclosed):

MetricQ1 2023
Orders ($USD Millions)$80
Book-to-Bill0.9
RPOs ($USD Millions)$304

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Revenue ($USD Millions)Q2 2023N/A$90–95 Introduced
Adjusted Gross Margin (%)Q2 2023N/A33–35% Introduced
Adjusted Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)Q2 2023N/A$29–31 Introduced
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)Q2 2023N/A$(1)–4 Introduced
Net Revenue ($USD Millions)FY 2023N/A~$400 Introduced
Adjusted Gross Margin (%)FY 2023N/A35–37% Introduced
Adjusted Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)FY 2023N/A$115–120 Introduced
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY 2023N/A$22–27 Introduced

Note: No formal guidance update was issued in August; Q2 10‑Q remained delayed .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q2 2023)Trend
Supply chain and lead timesMgmt expected improvement; lead times normalizing to 3–6 months, aiming 3–4 months in 2024 No Q2 call; operational commentary not updated due to delayed filing Improving but unconfirmed in Q2
Gross margin trajectoryQ1 non‑GAAP GM 33.3%; mgmt expected sequential GM improvement through 2023 No results reported; guidance prior indicated Q2 adj GM 33–35% Intended improvement; validation pending
Liquidity/financingQ1: revolver drawn; waiver received; target ~$40M year‑end cash Secured $29.7M financing to retire term debt/revolver; ABL contemplated Positive liquidity inflection
Regulatory/BABA/BEADNot emphasized in Q1 callAsserted BEAD/BABA eligibility for OLTs/ONTs under proposed waiver Positive policy tailwind
Product performance (Sabre 4400, Velocity V6, Xtreme)Launch timing impacted 2023 revenue; higher margin portfolio expected to lift GM No Q2 results; continued marketing at Fiber Connect Pipeline building; timing risk remains
Regional trendsAsia growth; N.A./EMEA targeted share gains No Q2 updateNeutral (information gap)

Management Commentary

  • “The new financing from DNI will ease our financial covenants, lower our interest cost basis and…fully pay off our existing loans” (Charlie Vogt, CEO) .
  • “We expect to lower our quarterly operating spend by nearly $10 million by the first quarter of 2024 compared with the first quarter of 2023, specifically, $24 million in Q1 2024 versus $34 million in Q1 2023” .
  • “We anticipate that 1Q 2023 will mark the low point for gross margin…we expect to deliver gross margin and earnings improvement throughout the balance of 2023” (CEO prepared remarks) .
  • “Our updated full year outlook includes revenue of approximately $400 million; gross margin between 35% and 37%…Adjusted EBITDA between $22 million and $27 million” (CFO) .
  • BEAD/BABA: “Assuming the…waiver…stands as proposed, DZS is among a short list of technology suppliers meeting the requirements for OLTs… and ONTs” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Guidance recalibration: ~10% revenue reduction vs prior expectations driven by product launch timing (Sabre 4400 and Velocity V6) and trial conversion timing .
  • Lead times: Normalizing from >52 weeks to 3–6 months, targeting 3–4 months by 2024; variability by product BOM .
  • Gross margin target: Path to sustainable ~40% GM hinges on N.A./EMEA mix, third‑party manufacturing scale (Fabrinet phase II), and software pricing/cross‑sell (Xtreme, CloudCheck) .
  • OpEx discipline: Sales/marketing to remain elevated; operations efficiencies and product completion to drive savings and EBITDA progression in 2024–2025 .
  • Working capital: DSOs at 140 days in Q1 due to Vietnam milestone timing, ASSIA billing integration, and ERP timing; expected to fall below 100 days by year‑end .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global for DZSI Q2 2023 were unavailable in our system at the time of request; as a result, no comparison vs consensus is presented.
  • Given the delayed 10‑Q and restatement review, sell‑side models are likely to revisit revenue timing, margin trajectory, liquidity and credit terms once filings resume .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The absence of filed Q2 2023 results and the Nasdaq delinquency notice introduce near‑term headline and listing risk; monitor timing and outcomes of the audit committee review and compliance plan .
  • Post‑quarter financing (~$29.7M total; $24.5M term loan at 8%) reduces near‑term covenant pressure and retires higher‑cost debt; an ABL facility is being pursued to support growth .
  • Cost actions are material: management targets ~$10M quarterly OpEx reduction by Q1 2024 vs Q1 2023, supporting margin and cash flow improvements even amid revenue timing variability .
  • Policy tailwinds: Claimed BEAD/BABA eligibility for OLTs/ONTs positions DZS to benefit from U.S. broadband subsidies; track any awards and U.S. order flow .
  • Medium‑term thesis rests on higher‑margin product ramp (Sabre 4400, Velocity V6) and software attach (Xtreme), driving GM toward ~40% and EBITDA scaling; execution on trials/design wins remains the key gating factor .
  • Near‑term trading: Expect volatility around filing status updates/restatement scope; upside catalysts include filing resumption, confirmation of BEAD/BABA orders, and ABL closure .
  • Watch credit and working capital metrics (liquidity, DSOs) as filings resume; lenders’ “Specified Defaults” underscore the importance of sustained operational improvements .